Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison
Wojtek Kolan
HEAD TO HEAD
C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi
Carlos Alcaraz
ESP
w
w
w
w
l
w
w
w
w
l
2
Win
2
Played
0
Win
22
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
1
C. Rank
63
1
Best Rank
30
25
Total Titles
0
8
YTD Titles
0
$39.9M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
w
l
w
l
l
w
w
w
l
l
2
Win
2
Played
0
Win
22
Age
24
6'1" (185 cm)
Height
-
1
C. Rank
63
1
Best Rank
30
25
Total Titles
0
8
YTD Titles
0
$39.9M
Career Money
$2.5M
Right-Handed
Plays
-
Head-to-head: Alcaraz 2 - 0 Arnaldi
They have played 6 sets in total, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 5 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 1. The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-7(5) 6-0 6-1.
| Players | Head To Head Match Wins |
|---|---|
| Alcaraz | 2 |
| Arnaldi | 0 |
Last 2 H2H Matches:
(R2) BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells(03-08-24)
Carlos Alcaraz
6
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
7
0
1
(R4) U.S. Open - New York(09-04-23)
Carlos Alcaraz
6
6
6
Matteo Arnaldi
3
3
4
C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi H2H Profile
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| $39,913,030 | Career Prize Money | $2,532,865 |
| 80.90% (360-85) | Career Total W/L | 59.90% (239-160) |
| 2 | Hard | 0 |
| 32 | Titles | 6 |
| 2 | Total H2H Matches | 0 |
| 88.75% (71-9) | YTD Win/Loss | 45.45% (20-24) |
| 8 | YTD Titles | 0 |
C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi Match Preview:
- Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Carlos Alcaraz has won 47.00% of points on their second serve, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 48.13%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
- Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Carlos Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 41.52% of their opponent's second serve points, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 44.83%. The same stats for first serve returns are 23.32% and 24.94% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
- Under pressure analysis: Carlos Alcaraz has saved 55.12% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Matteo Arnaldi has saved 61.11% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
- Performance overview: Over the last year Carlos Alcaraz has won 88.75% of matches played (W/L 71/9), with Matteo Arnaldi winning 46.94% (W/L 23/26) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
- Best surface: Carlos Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 90% (W/L 35/4), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 69% (W/L 35/16). Matteo Arnaldi has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 90% (W/L 132/70), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 39% (W/L 18/28).
- Player level: In the last year, Carlos Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Grand Slam, winning 92.31% of matches (W/L 24/2), where as Matteo Arnaldi has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 50.00% of matches (W/L 13/13). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
- Direct H2H matches: They have played 2 times before with Carlos Alcaraz winning 2 times and Matteo Arnaldi being victorious 0 times. They have played 6 sets in total, with Carlos Alcaraz winning 5 and Matteo Arnaldi winning 1.
- The last match between Carlos Alcaraz and Matteo Arnaldi was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2024, Round: R2, Surface: Hard, with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-7(5) 6-0 6-1.
- Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:5:42.
- Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Carlos Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 48.09 while Matteo Arnaldi has played against players with an average rank of 62.08.
- Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Carlos Alcaraz has won 80% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Matteo Arnaldi has won 47% in all matches played on tour.
- Break point conversion: In recent form, Carlos Alcaraz has converted 30.05% of breakpoint opportunities, and Matteo Arnaldi has converted 25.53% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.
C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2 | H2H Matches Won | 0 |
| 5 | Sets Won | 1 |
| 36 | Games Won | 18 |
| 4 | Aces (Total) | 7 |
| 4 | Total Double Faults | 3 |
| 2:5:42 | Average Match Time | 2:5:42 |
| 61% (92/150) | 1st Serve % | 60% (109/182) |
| 82% (75/92) | 1st Serve Win % | 62% (68/109) |
| 57% (33/58) | 2nd Serve Win % | 42% (31/73) |
| 44% (11/25) | Break Pts Won % | 40% (2/5) |
| 46% (83/182) | Return Points Win % | 28% (42/150) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑3 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Best‑of‑5 Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | Deciding Set Win % | 0% (0/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
| 0% (0/1) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 100% (1/1) |
| 100% (1/1) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 0% (0/1) |
Recent Performance Stats
2nd Serve Win %: Alcaraz 57%, Arnaldi 51%.
Opp 2nd Serve Pts Won: Alcaraz 54%, Arnaldi 47%.
Break Points Saved %: Alcaraz 66%, Arnaldi 65%.
C. Alcaraz Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nitto ATP Finals - Turin - 10-11-2025 | ||||
F Jannik SinnerJ. Sinner | L | 7-6(4) 7-5 | ||
SF  Felix Auger AliassimeF. Auger | W | 6-2 6-4 | ||
Robin Lorenzo MusettiL. Musetti | W | 6-4 6-1 | ||
Robin  Taylor FritzT. Fritz | W | 6-7(2) 7-5 6-3 | ||
Robin  Alex De MinaurA. De | W | 7-6(5) 6-2 | ||
M. Arnaldi Recent Matches Played
| OPPONENT | RESULT | SCORE | H2H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025 | ||||
Q1  Jacob FearnleyJ. Fearnley | L | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025 | ||||
R2  Alexander ZverevA. Zverev | L | 6-4 6-4 | ||
R1 Aleksandar KovacevicA. Kovacevic | W | 7-5 6-4 | ||
Q3 Tristan SchoolkateT. Schoolkate | W | 7-6(5) 6-3 | ||
Q1  Jesper De JongJ. De | W | 6-4 7-6(5) | ||
C. Alcaraz vs M. Arnaldi Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents
| Stats | ||
|---|---|---|
| 80.90% (360/85) | YTD Win/Loss | 59.90% (239/160) |
| 73.32% (849/309) | Sets Win/Loss | 57.91% (560/407) |
| 57.54% (6389/4714) | Games Win/Loss | 52.58% (4842/4366) |
| 81.17% (125/29) | Hard Win/Loss | 60.71% (85/55) |
| 82.09% (165/36) | Clay Win/Loss | 65.35% (132/70) |
| 68.63% (35/16) | Indoor Hard W/L | 38.30% (18/29) |
| 89.74% (35/4) | Grass Win/Loss | 40.00% (4/6) |
| 0.3 | Aces Per Game | 0.36 |
| 1647 | Aces Total | 1621 |
| 0.19 | Double Faults Per Game | 0.25 |
| 1039 | Total Double Faults | 1126 |
| 1:57:10 | Average Match Time | 1:45:46 |
| 188.77 | Average Opponent Rank | 301.4 |
| 65% (21965/33578) | 1st Serve % | 59% (16488/28035) |
| 71% (15498/21965) | 1st Serve Win % | 68% (11281/16488) |
| 56% (6458/11613) | 2nd Serve Win % | 50% (5794/11542) |
| 43% (1702/3988) | Break Points Won % (Total) | 43% (1155/2712) |
| 42% (15025/35655) | Return Points Win % | 40% (10868/27336) |
| 86.54% (90/14) | Slam W/L | 56.25% (18/14) |
| 78.18% (86/24) | Masters W/L | 54.39% (31/26) |
| 83.33% (10/2) | Cups W/L | 80.00% (4/1) |
| 81.03% (94/22) | Main Tour W/L | 48.57% (34/36) |
| 58.33% (7/5) | Tour Finals W/L | 0% (0/0) |
| 77.08% (37/11) | Challenger W/L | 59.84% (73/49) |
| 83.78% (31/6) | Futures W/L | 70.27% (78/33) |
| 79% (270/341) | Best of 3 Sets Win % | 61% (223/367) |
| 88% (87/99) | Best of 5 Sets Win % | 43% (12/28) |
| 64% (118/183) | Tiebreaks Win % (Total) | 58% (76/131) |
| 72% (93/130) | Deciding Set Win % | 51% (68/133) |
| 93% (328/305) | 1st Set Won, Won Match | 83% (242/200) |
| 7% (328/23) | 1st Set Won, Lost Match | 17% (242/42) |
| 46% (115/53) | 1st Set Lost, Won Match | 24% (156/37) |
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